(MN has now published some info on their model, but since it’s not usable without spending more time than I intend, I continue to use this one, which seems to be using a more general version of the same sort of modeling. You’ll note a big jump on 4/14, possibly due to MN’s mistaken lumping of two days’ statistics into one release over the weekend, or possibly just a return to “normal” after several days of fewer deaths than originally predicted.)
- Predicted for 4/6 (grabbed @ noon on 4/6, big update 4/5)
- 7 deaths (1-25 (!!)), 42 deaths (29-74) total, 625 projected by 8/4
- ICU beds needed: 79 (43-153)
- peak predicted:
- 4/26: 24 deaths/day
- peak ICU beds needed: 228 (59-651) on 4/25
- Actual for 4/6 (reported 11AM 4/7, current as of 4PM previous day)
- hospitalized: 242 (64 ICU)
- deaths: 4, total 34
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