{"id":363,"date":"2020-04-13T18:24:04","date_gmt":"2020-04-13T23:24:04","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/?p=363"},"modified":"2020-04-13T18:24:04","modified_gmt":"2020-04-13T23:24:04","slug":"last-fridays-news-today-4-10-covid-19-projections-vs-data","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/2020\/04\/13\/last-fridays-news-today-4-10-covid-19-projections-vs-data\/","title":{"rendered":"Last Friday&#8217;s news today: 4\/10 COVID-19 projections vs. data"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p> (MN has now published <a href=\"https:\/\/mn.gov\/covid19\/data\/modeling.jsp\">some info<\/a> on their model, but since it&#8217;s not usable without spending more time than I intend, I continue to use <a href=\"https:\/\/covid19.healthdata.org\/projections\">this one<\/a>, which seems to be using a more general version of the same sort of modeling.  You&#8217;ll note a big jump on 4\/14,  possibly due to MN&#8217;s mistaken lumping of two days&#8217; statistics into one release over the weekend, or possibly just a return to &#8220;normal&#8221; after several days of fewer deaths than originally predicted.)   <\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li>Predicted\u00a0for 4\/10 (grabbed @ 9AM on 4\/10)<ul><li>8 deaths (3-21),\u00a0 56 deaths (42-85) total, 456 projected by 8\/4<\/li><li>ICU beds needed: 83 (39-162)\u00a0<\/li><li>peak predicted:<ul><li>4\/26:\u00a0 16 deaths\/day (3-57)<\/li><li>peak ICU beds needed: 155 (37-505) on 4\/26<\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/li><li>Actual\u00a0for 4\/10 (reported 11AM 4\/11, current as of 4PM previous day)<ul><li>hospitalized: 138 (69 ICU)<\/li><li>deaths:\u00a0 7,\u00a0 total 57<\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Predicted\u00a0for 4\/10 (grabbed @ 9AM on 4\/10) 8 deaths (3-21),\u00a0 56 deaths (42-85) total, 456&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-363","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-covid-19","wpcat-21-id"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=363"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":364,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/363\/revisions\/364"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=363"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=363"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stevegigl.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=363"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}